Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 9/28/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 28th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 77-84 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-4 and 1-5. In their game two loss, Tampa Bay cut the deficit to 4-1 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find any more scoring for the defeat. The Rays recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Aranda, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. TB started Boyle, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Cleavinger allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Red Sox. Tampa Bay has lost six of their last eight games and they are fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 710 runs with a .251 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 45 home runs and 110 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 31 home runs and 83 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ian Seymour, who is 4-2 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 53.2 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 93-68 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-1 on Saturday. Toronto scored three runs in the second inning and never looked back for the win. The Blue Jays recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Clement, who went 2-3 with two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Yesavage, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bruihl picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Royals. Toronto has won four of their last six games and they are first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 785 runs with a .264 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 23 home runs and 83 RBIs, while George Springer has added 31 home runs and 82 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 10-11 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 189.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rays 

The Rays have lost each of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Blue Jays have won each of their last six games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a losing record.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against American League opponents following a loss.
The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games.
The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last three home games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites against the Rays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Six of the Rays’ last seven games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rays’ last six games as road underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

George Springer has hit a home run in three of his last four Sunday day appearances at Rogers Centre.
Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites against the Rays.
Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

Brandon Lowe has hit at least one home run in seven of his last 14 appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
Taylor Walls has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against AL East opponents.
Taylor Walls has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto picked up another victory on Saturday afternoon and they are one win away, or one Yankees loss, from winning the AL East. The Blue Jays are 53-27 at home this year, while the Rays are 36-44 on the road. Tampa Bay has allowed 15 runs in their last three games and they are starting Seymour, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Toronto is going with Gausman, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Jays by at least two runs behind a great start from Gausman.