Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 7/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 20th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 56-42 this year after they lost all four against the Red Sox by scores of 0-10, 3-5, 6-7, and 1-6. In game four, Tampa Bay led 1-0 in the second inning, but failed to score over the last seven innings for the loss. The Rays recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Mesa Jr, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. McClanahan allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Roycroft threw two innings in relief. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay won two out of three against the Mariners and split four games with the Yankees. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 435 runs with a .257 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 14 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 29 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Nick Martinez, who is 8-2 with a 2.65 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 105.1 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 46-53 this season after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 4-12, 1-0, and 0-3. In game three, Toronto allowed one run in the fourth inning and two in the sixth for the shutout loss. The Blue Jays recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Lukes, who went 2-4. Yesavage allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Fluharty threw 1.1 innings in relief. Prior to that series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Padres, but did win two out of three against the Giants before that. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 397 runs with a .242 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 22 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Dylan Cease, who is 6-4 with a 2.56 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 98.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last seven road games following a loss.
• The home team has won each of the Rays’ last four games.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have won 26 of their last 39 games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have covered the run line each of their last seven Monday night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Monday night games against the Blue Jays.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rays’ last six night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the last 10 night games between the Rays and Blue Jays.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Rays’ last seven games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances at Rogers Centre.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ernie Clement ranks T5th in the league in Hits (109) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit a home run in five of the Rays’ last six night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Junior Caminero has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous road appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Nick Martinez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Junior Caminero ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (29) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (397).
• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (397).
• The Rays rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (264).
• The Rays rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (264).

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup after an ugly series with the Red Sox and they have allowed 5+ runs in five straight. The Rays are 21-27 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 25-27 at home. Toronto has also struggled in recent series and they have scored only nine runs in their last four games. The Blue Jays are starting Cease, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings, while Martinez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight. Take the Blue Jays here, as I trust Cease slightly more than Martinez.

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML