Rays vs Astros Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 29-27 this season after they won game one by a score of 13-3 on Thursday night. Tampa Bay blew a 3-0 lead in the fifth and sixth innings, but they scored the final 10 runs in the game for the blowout win. The Rays recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Caminero, who went 3-6 with one home run and six RBIs in the win. TB started Baz, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Uceta picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Twins and all three against the Blue Jays. Tampa Bay has won eight of its last nine games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 239 runs with a .247 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this season. Brandon Lowe has led Tampa Bay with 11 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 11 home runs and 32 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 3-5 with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 63.1 innings pitched this season. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 30-26 this year after they dropped game one on Thursday night. Houston was able to tie the game at three in the sixth inning, but their bullpen fell apart in the seventh and eighth innings for the loss. The Astros recorded eight hits in the game and they committed one error, while they were led by Diaz, Dubon, and Altuve, who all had one RBI in the game. Houston started Gusto, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 3.2 innings, while King allowed five earned runs and picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Astros swept the Athletics in two games and won three out of four against the Mariners. Houston has won five of their last seven games, and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .219 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 233 runs with a .255 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Isaac Paredes has led Houston with 11 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Jeremy Pena has added seven home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 4-4 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Astros will beat the Rays 

• The Astros have won each of their last eight home games following a loss.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight night games against the Astros at Daikin Park following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a road win.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Astros’ last six night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays’ last five road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last nine Friday games at Daikin Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last eight Friday night games against American League opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jose Altuve has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros’ last two night games.
• Framber Valdez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Christian Walker has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
• Jose Altuve has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in four of the Rays’ last five games at Daikin Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of the Rays’ last eight games against AL opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 12 games.

Rays vs Astros Prediction 

Tampa Bay was able to erupt late in the game on Thursday night to cruise to the win, and they have been red hot over the last two weeks. The Rays are 11-8 on the road this year, while the Astros are 20-11 at home. Houston is also playing very well right now, and their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with the exception of Thursday. The Astros are starting Valdez, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts. The Rays are going with Pepiot, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five. Both of these pitchers have been solid over their last five starts, but Valdez has been elite. Take the Astros here.