Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 16th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 61-62 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 6-5 on Friday night. Texas led 5-2 in the eighth inning, but they completely fell apart in the bottom of the eighth for the loss. The Rangers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Higashioka, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Texas started deGrom, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Maton picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Rangers lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and all three against the Phillies. Texas has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 500 runs with a .231 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 16 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 17 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Patrick Corbin, who is 6-8 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 117.0 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 72-51 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-5 on Friday night. Toronto struggled at the plate in the first six innings, but they scored six runs in the seventh and eighth innings to steal the victory. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Kirk, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Toronto started Bassitt, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Hoffman picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Cubs, but did lose two out of three against the Dodgers before that. Toronto has won four of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 597 runs with a .268 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 20 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Addison Barger has added 18 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Eric Lauer, who is 7-2 with a 2.82 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 83.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rangers

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last 10 games at Rogers Centre against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in each of their last three games as favorites against the Rangers.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the last 11 games between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rangers’ last five games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six road games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games, as they continue to be one of the top teams in the MLB. The Blue Jays are 41-20 at home this year, while the Rangers are 24-36 on the road. Texas has lost seven of their last eight games and they are fading in the wild card race. The Rangers are starting Corbin, who has allowed six earned runs and 10 hits in his last 7.1 innings. The Blue Jays are going with Lauer, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Jays to get another win.