Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction 3/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 0-1 on the year and play the Reds and Orioles next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .270 on the season, have a .270 OBP, and have a .595 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 12.38 ERA and a 2.50 WHIP. Ryan O’Hearn leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 2 hits and 1 RBI, while Nick Gonzales and Brandon Loew have combined for 4 hits and 5 RBI.

Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he was 6-15 with a 4.19 ERA and 150 strikeouts last season. Keller is 4-2 with a 2.06 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 1-0 on the year and play the Cardinals and Giants next. The New York Mets are batting .324 on the season and have a .467 OBP, and a .588 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 7.00 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Marcus Semien leads the New York Mets with 2 hits and 1 RBI while Francisco Alvarez and Juan Soto have combined for 4 hits and 2 RBI.

David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he was 9-6 with a 4.22 ERA and 150 strikeouts last season. Peterson is 0-1 with a 4.71 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Pirates and Mets.
• The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 day games against the Pirates at Citi Field.
• The Pirates have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Pirates and Mets.
• The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against NL East opponents that hold a winning record.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mets’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Pirates’ last 14 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Mets’ last 11 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Jorge Polanco has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last eight games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 22 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette ranked 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.311) last season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games against the Mets.
• Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against the Mets.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.
• Mitch Keller has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets ranked 5th in the league for home runs last season (224).
• The Mets ranked 5th in the league for steals last season (147).
• The Pirates ranked 30th in the league for RBIs last season (561).
• The Pirates ranked 30th in the league for slugging percentage last season (.350).

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets looked great in their opener and now they throw out an all-star from last season in Peterson. They should be favored. However, the Pirates’ bats are in decent form out of the gate; it’s just a matter of finding some pitching to match. Keller is coming off a decent season and through 77 at-bats against current Mets, he’s allowing a. a .208 batting average, a .315 on-base percentage and 24 strikeouts. We’re getting 1.5 times our money and the Pirates are living in this spot. I’ll take a shot with the Pirates on Saturday afternoon.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates