Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 8/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 51-68 on the year and play the Cubs, Blue Jays, and Rockies next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .233 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .347 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Byran Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 106 hits and 56 RBI, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 184 hits and 72 RBI. 

Andrew Heaney gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 5-9 with a 4.77 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. Heaney is 1-3 with a 6.56 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Pirates will face off against the Chicago Cubs and Toronto Blue Jays next.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 73-44 on the year and play the Reds, Cubs, and Giants next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .257 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .399 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 123 hits and 67 RBI while Brice Turang and Sal Frelick have combined for 226 hits and 96 RBI.

Jose Quintana gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 9-4 with a 3.57 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Quintana is 5-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 71 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last 12 night games at American Family Field following a home win.
• The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 13 road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last four games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against the Pirates following a win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL opponents.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances at American Family Field against opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in five of the Pirates’ last 12 games as road underdogs against the Brewers.
• Andrew Heaney has recorded four or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 16 appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Tommy Pham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Pirates look like a team that’s run out of gas, and it’s hard to back them with confidence. Heaney has allowed 29 hits and 18 earned runs in his last 22 innings. In 55 road innings, Heaney has a 6.55 ERA and .276 allowed batting average. No, thanks. The Brewers have won nine straight games and Quintana has found the fountain of youth lately with a 3.57 ERA and 1.34 WHIP on the season. Quintana has allowed three or fewer runs in nine of his last 12 starts. I’m going to ride the hot hand and side with the Brewers at home.