Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, August 13th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 62-59 record this season and are sitting in 3rd place in the NL East. They have a 38-24 home record and are coming off an 8-2 home win against the Pirates. They will face the Reds and the Phillies next.

The Miami Marlins have a .251 batting average this season, a .327 OBP, and a .405 slugging percentage. The Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with a .314 batting average and a team-high 53 RBI, while Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 17 home runs.

Tyler Phillips (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 3-5 record, a 3.47 ERA, and a 1.36 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 58-64 record this season and are sitting in 5th place in the NL Central. They have a 28-34 away record and are coming off a 2-8 away loss against the Marlins. They will face the Red Sox and the Tigers next.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .255 batting average this season, a .333 OBP, and a .409 slugging percentage. The Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the Pirates’ best hitter with a .307 batting average, while Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 74 and adds a team-high 25 home runs.

Braxton Ashcraft (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has an 11-5 record, a 4.08 ERA, and a 1.16 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: August 13, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips      Record this season: 3-5      ERA: 3.47
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Pirates: 1-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last 12 home games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 15 day games following a win.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft      Record this season: 11-5      ERA: 4.08
• Road Record: 6-4
• Last 5 against Marlins: 0-0

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won five of their last six day games following a road loss.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games following a road loss.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Pirates’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last six games against National League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Braxton Ashcraft’s last eight road appearances as a starter.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Griffin Conine has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last five games as home underdogs.
• Tyler Phillips has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.
• Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (148) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Braxton Ashcraft has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Pirates as road favorites.
• Braxton Ashcraft has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as road favorites.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Nick Gonzales ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.307) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (125).
• The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1074).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1150).

Pirates vs Marlins Prediction

The Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Pirates and have won their last four meetings in Miami.

In this Pirates vs Marlins Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -125 road favorites. I like the Marlins to keep rolling in this one, as they will face a struggling Pirates team that has won only once in its last eight games and Braxton Ashcraft has been struggling lately, having given up 4+ runs in four of his last five games. The Marlins’ bullpen has been excellent as of late and their offense has been in far better shape than the Pirates. Take the Marlins at home for plus money.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Miami Marlins ML