Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 6/29/24

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Atlanta Braves (44-35) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (39-41)

June 29, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -164 / Pittsburgh Pirates +139 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 29th at Citi Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Pirates form and recent player performance 

-The Braves recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta

-Recent betting trends in games played between Pirates vs Braves

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Pirates and Braves. 

Pirates Offense Struggled Again

The Pirates’ offense struggled again on Friday, and they ended up losing 6-1. Martin Perez went four innings, giving up eight hits and six runs. The Pirates are averaging 4.08 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.46 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 20th. Bryan Reynolds has hit 133 home runs and driven in 46 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Pirates will be Paul Skenes who sits with a 4-0 record and an ERA of 2.14. In his last start against the Tampa Bay Rays, he went seven innings giving up six hits and one run. 

Why the Pirates Will Beat the Braves

  • The Braves have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Pirates have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.

Braves Need to Have Success This Series

The Braves really need to have success in this series, as they have been inconsistent as of late. Marcell Ozuna had a strong game, finishing with a hit and three runs driven in. The Braves are averaging 4.35 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.73 runs per game. The offense is ranked 15th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 4th. They do have a positive run differential of 0.62 which is 7th in the league. Getting the start for the Braves will be Max Fried, who sits with a 7-3 record and an ERA of 3.00. In his last start against the New York Yankees, he went six innings, giving up six hits and one run. 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Pirates haven’t had a ton of success overall this season, but one of the real bright spots for this team has been Skenes who sits with a low ERA of 2.14. In his last start against the Rays, he gave up only one run, and he’s going to dominate again in this game. The Braves’ offense is going to really struggle here. The Pirates’ offense is going to score a couple of runs and that will be enough to secure the victory. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Pirates ML

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