Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 6/5/2026 Today's MLB Picks

MATCHUP	Pittsburgh Pirates	Atlanta Braves
Team Records	34-29	42-21
Spread	+1.5 -174	-1.5 143
Moneyline	+123	-149
Total	Over 8.5 (-105)	Under 8.5 (-115)
Where	Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
When	Friday, June 5, 2026
Time	07:15 PM EDT
TV	MLB.TV

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 34-29 on the year and play the Marlins and Dodgers next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .256 on the season and have a .339 OBP and a .405 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 66 hits and 29 RBIs, while Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have combined for 126 hits and 83 RBIs.

Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 5-2 with a 4.35 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. Keller is 1-3 with a 7.31 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 42-21 on the year and play the Mets and White Sox next. The Atlanta Braves are batting. 257 on the season and have a .323 OBP and a .434 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Ozzie Albies leads the Atlanta Braves with 68 hits and 34 RBI, while Matt Olson and Michael Harris II have combined for 131 hits and 84 RBI.

Martin Perez gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 3-3 with a 2.79 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Perez is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

The Braves have won 10 of their last 11 games following a home loss.
The Pirates have lost eight of their last nine road games against NL East opponents following a road win.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road night games.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Pirates have won each of their last three games as underdogs.
The Braves have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.
The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Braves.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Braves’ last nine games as favorites against the Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Pirates’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Pirates’ last seven night games at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Matt Olson ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.555) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Oneil Cruz is one of only five players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Braves rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.257).
The Braves rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.434).
The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (584).
The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.256).