Pirates vs Red Sox Prediction 8/30/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 30th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 60-76 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 4-2 on Friday night. Pittsburgh trailed 2-0 in the sixth inning, but they scored the last four runs to pull away with the win. The Pirates recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Pham, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the win. Pittsburgh started Skenes, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Santana picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates split four games with the Cardinals and swept the Rockies in three games. Pittsburgh has won seven of their last nine games and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 488 runs with a .234 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 18 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Johan Oviedo, who is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 75-61 this season after they dropped game one to open this series on Friday. Boston jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but failed to score over the final four innings in the loss. The Red Sox recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Anthony, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Boston started Tolle, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Weissert picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won all four against the Orioles and three out of four against the Yankees. Boston has won seven of their last nine games and they are third in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 670 runs with a .252 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu (IL) has led Boston with 22 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 22 home runs and 84 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Dustin May, who is 7-10 with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 124.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Pirates 

The favorites have won each of the Red Sox’s last seven games.
The Pirates have lost each of their last six Saturday games against American League opponents.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Red Sox’s last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Pirates’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Pirates’ last nine road games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four home games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Dustin May has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite.
Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Tommy Pham has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances in day games.
Bryan Reynolds has hit at least one home run in two of the Pirates’ last three games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in each of the Pirates’ last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Johan Oviedo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Pirates vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston picked up a tough loss on Friday night in game one and they have dropped to third in the AL East standings behind the Yankees and Blue Jays. The Red Sox are 41-26 at home this year, while the Pirates are 21-46 on the road. Pittsburgh has played much better recently and they are starting Oviedo, who has allowed one earned run in each of his last two outings. The Sox are going with May, who has allowed 5, 2, 0, and 3 earned runs in four starts with the team. May struggled last time out, but he was decent prior to that and I still don’t trust this Pittsburgh team at the plate. Take Boston -1.5 here.