Aug 10, 2025; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Pittsburgh Pirates pitchers Andrew Heaney (left) and Paul Skenes (30) and Mitch Keller (right) walk in from the bullpen before the game against the Cincinnati Reds at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction 8/12/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Pittsburgh (51-69) vs Milwaukee (74-44)

August 12, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee +1.5 — Over/Under: +6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 12th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 51-69 this season after they lost game one by a score of 7-1 on Monday night. Pittsburgh tied the game at one in the third inning, but they failed to score over the last six innings for the loss. The Pirates recorded just three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bart, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Pittsburgh started Heaney, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Shugart allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates split four games with the Reds and lost two out of three against the Giants. Pittsburgh has lost five of their last seven games and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 427 runs with a .232 batting average and a .304 on base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 18 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 11 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. Reynolds has been a great guy to target in MLB player props this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 7-8 with a 1.94 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 144.0 innings pitched this season. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 74-44 this year after they won game one in blowout fashion to start this series. Milwaukee scored four runs in the third inning to pull away for the easy win. The Brewers recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Yelich and Turang, who both had solo home runs in the win. Milwaukee started Quintana, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Anderson and Miller closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Brewers won all three against the Mets and all three against the Braves. Milwaukee has won 10 games in a row and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 594 runs with a .257 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 22 home runs and 75 RBIs, while William Contreras has added 12 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 13-5 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 130.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Pirates

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have lost eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games at American Family Field against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games at American Family Field.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games at American Family Field.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Brewers’ last 11 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last nine Tuesday night games against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Brewers’ last 11 games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Brice Turang has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in each of the Pirates’ last three games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Brewers.
  • Jack Suwinski has hit a home run in three of his last four Tuesday night appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction 

Milwaukee extended their winning streak to 10 games with their win on Monday night and they have scored seven runs in three straight games. The Brewers are 40-20 at home this year, while the Pirates are 17-40 on the road. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games and they have allowed 21 runs in their last two. The Pirates are starting Skenes, who has allowed zero earned run in three of his last four starts. The Brewers are going with Peralta, who has allowed 1, 5, 1, 4, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. Pittsburgh definitely has the pitching edge, but I will not go against the Brewers right now. Take Milwaukee here. 

David Racey's Pick: Brewers ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Hot Cappers

Latest Picks & Game Previews

  • Cowboys vs Eagles Prediction 9/4/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

    September 04, 2025

  • Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction 9/4/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

    September 04, 2025

  • Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 9/4/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

    September 04, 2025

  • Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

    September 05, 2025

  • James Madison vs Louisville Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 05, 2025

  • Northern Illinois vs Maryland Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 05, 2025

  • Western Illinois vs Northwestern Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 05, 2025

  • Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

    September 05, 2025

  • Eastern Washington vs Boise State Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 05, 2025

  • UConn vs Syracuse Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 06, 2025