Pirates vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 24th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 26-26 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-6 and 2-5. In game two, Pittsburgh tied the game at one in the sixth inning, but they allowed the next four runs for the loss. The Pirates recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ozuna, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Skenes allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Ramirez allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh won two out of three against the Cardinals, but lost all three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 252 runs with a .251 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz has led the Pirates with 10 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 13 home runs and 32 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 4-2 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 58.1 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 25-27 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-2 on Saturday. Toronto led 1-0 in the first inning and they pulled away in the sixth inning for the win. The Blue Jays recorded 11 hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Springer, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI in the game. Corbin allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Hoffman picked up the save. Prior to this series, Toronto split four games with the Yankees and won two out of three against the Tigers. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 213 runs with a .243 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Dylan Cease, who is 3-2 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 57.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Pirates have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven Sunday day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The underdogs have won three of the Blue Jays’ last four games.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Pirates’ last nine road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Dylan Cease’s last six home appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four day games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Dylan Cease has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Mitch Keller has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against the Blue Jays.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous road appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.

Pirates vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four straight. The Blue Jays are 15-11 at home this year, while the Pirates are 13-13 on the road. Pittsburgh has split their last four games and they have allowed 5+ runs in three of their last five. The Pirates are starting Keller, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 11 hits over his last 11.1 innings, while Cease has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five outings. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 7.5