Aug 5, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies outfielder Kyle Schwarber (12) prepares to bat during the second inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

Phillies vs Rangers Prediction 8/8/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Philadelphia (65-49) vs Texas (60-56)

August 8, 2025 at 08:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas +1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 8th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-49 this year after they won two out of three against Baltimore by scores of 13-3, 5-0, and 1-5. In their game three loss, Philadelphia cut the deficit to 4-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Phillies recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Turner, who went 3-4 with one RBI in the loss. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 6.1 innings for the loss, while Romano, Ross, and Rangel combined for 2.2 scoreless innings.

Prior to that series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost two out of three against the White Sox before that. Philadelphia has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 535 runs with a .255 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 40 home runs and 94 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 15 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 10-3 with a 2.40 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 138.2 innings pitched this year. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 60-56 this season after they won two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 8-5, 2-0, and 2-3. In their game three loss, Texas tied the game at two in the fifth inning, but allowed the winning run in the seventh for the loss. The Rangers recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Haggerty and Semien, who both had one RBI in the loss. Texas started Leiter, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 3.1 innings, while Garcia picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Rangers lost three out of four against the Mariners and two out of three against the Angels. Texas has won three of their last five games and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.23 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 477 runs with a .232 batting average and a .301 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 16 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 16 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Merrill Kelly, who is 9-6 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 134.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Phillies

  • The Phillies have lost each of their last nine road games against the Rangers following a loss.
  • The home team has won each of the last eight games between the Phillies and Rangers.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the Rangers following a loss.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Phillies will beat the Rangers

  • The Phillies have won each of their last seven night games following a home loss.
  • The Rangers have lost four of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Phillies’ last seven road games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Rangers’ last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rangers’ last eight games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Adolis Garcia has hit at least one home run in four of the Rangers’ last five games at Globe Life Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Merrill Kelly has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Phillies vs Rangers Prediction 

Texas comes into this contest after a nice series against the Yankees, as they try to catch Seattle and Houston in the AL West. The Rangers are 36-21 at home this year, while the Phillies are 28-28 on the road. Philadelphia has won three of their last four games, but they are up just 2.5 games on the Mets. The Phillies are starting Sanchez, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five outings. The Rangers are going with Kelly, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. Take the under in this matchup. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 7.5

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