Phillies vs Mets Prediction 8/25/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 25th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 76-54 this year after they won two out of three against Washington by scores of 4-5, 6-4, and 3-2. In their game three win, Philadelphia took a 3-0 lead in the third inning, but barely hung on in the late innings for the win. The Phillies recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Marchan, who went 1-3 with three RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Kerkering picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Phillies swept the Mariners in three games and split four games with the Nationals. Philadelphia has won six of their last seven games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 617 runs with a .257 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 45 home runs and 109 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 11-4 with a 2.46 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 157.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 69-61 this season after they won two out of three against Atlanta by scores of 12-7, 9-2, and 3-4. In their game three loss, New York led 2-0 in the second inning, but didn’t score again until the ninth for the close loss. The Mets recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. New York started Peterson, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Soto picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Mariners before that. New York has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 593 runs with a .246 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 29 home runs and 103 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 32 home runs and 77 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 7-5 with a 2.58 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Mets 

• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine Monday night games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against the Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 19 of the Phillies’ last 24 games as favorites against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games against NL East opponents.
• Kodai Senga has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games against opponents that held a winning record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in 24 of his last 25 appearances against NL East opponents.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction 

These two teams come into this series as the top two teams in the NL East, but Philadelphia does have a seven game lead over New York. The Phillies are 34-32 on the road this year, while the Mets are 41-24 at home. New York continues to play very inconsistently and they are starting Senga, who has allowed four earned runs in two of his last four outings. The Phillies are going with Sanchez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Take the Phillies to get the win here.