Phillies vs Cubs Prediction 4/23/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 23rd at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 8-16 this season after they lost the first three games in this series by scores of 1-5, 4-7, and 2-7. In game three, Philadelphia led 2-1 in the third inning, but they couldn’t find anymore offense for another loss. The Phillies recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Crawford and Sosa, who both had one RBI. Walker allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Rangel allowed one earned in three relief innings. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost all three against the Braves and two out of three against the Cubs. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 5.05 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP and a .281 opponent batting average, while they have scored 82 runs with a .220 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with eight home runs and 15 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added five home runs and 13 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 2-2 with a 1.59 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 28.1 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 15-9 this year after they won game three by a score of 7-2 on Wednesday night. Chicago blew a 1-0 lead in the second inning, but they scored the last six runs for the lopsided win. The Cubs recorded 13 hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Happ, Suzuki, and Crow-Armstrong, who all had two RBIs in the game. Boyd allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Brown got the win in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago swept the Mets in three games and won two out of three against the Phillies. 

This season, Chicago has a 3.39 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 131 runs with a .259 batting average and a .351 on base percentage. Nico Hoerner has led the Cubs with four home runs and 22 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added five home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Edward Cabrera, who is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 22.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won each of their last nine games at Wrigley Field against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 12 games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Wrigley Field against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have lost 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last four games.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Phillies following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Phillies and Cubs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Phillies’ last 13 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Phillies and Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against the Phillies.
• Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog .

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded a hit in each of his last six appearances at Wrigley Field.

Phillies vs Cubs Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup on a lengthy losing streak and they have allowed 19 runs in their last three games. The Phillies are 3-6 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 10-5 at home. Chicago has won eight games in a row and they have scored 4+ in four of their last five. The Cubs are starting Cabrera, who has allowed six earned runs and 16 hits in his last 11.0 innings, while Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in all five of his starts. I really don’t want to do it with how they are playing, but Sanchez is the better starter and I like the Phillies here.

David Racey's Pick: Phillies ML