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Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 8/4/24
Pick details
Seattle Mariners (58-53) vs Philadelphia Phillies (65-44)
August 4, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners +121 / Philadelphia Phillies -143 — Over/Under: 6.5
The Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-45 on the year and play the Dodgers and Diamondbacks next. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have lost 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 123 hits and 76 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper have combined for 199 hits and 124 RBI.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 59-53 on the year and play the Tigers and Mets next. The Seattle Mariners have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games. The Seattle Mariners have won 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 101 hits and 37 RBI, while Cal Raleigh and Josh Rojas have combined for 153 hits and 90 RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup
Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 10-5 with a 2.94 ERA and 139 strikeouts this season. Wheeler has allowed 18 hits and 10 runs in his last 23 innings. Wheeler has a 3.61 ERA and .208 allowed batting average in 52.1 road innings. This will be Wheeler’s first career game against the Seattle Mariners.
Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 6-7 with a 3.11 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. Gilbert has allowed 23 hits and 15 earned runs in his last 29.1 innings. Gilbert has a 2.89 ERA and .191 allowed batting average in 65.1 home innings. Gilbert is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Mitch Haniger has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last three games at T-Mobile Park.
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mariners’ last five day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Justin Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in four of the Phillies’ last five day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- J.T. Realmuto has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against AL West opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last five road games against AL West opponents.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in day games.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Mariners.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1128).
- The Seattle Mariners rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.45).
- The Philadelphia Phillies rank T3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (110).
- The Philadelphia Phillies rank T4th in the league for walks this season (373).
Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies are getting the benefit of the doubt because Zack Wheeler is on the mound, one of three NL pitchers in the CY Young race, along with Chris Sale and Paul Skenes. However, the Phillies haven’t won a game in a week, and they’ve won just 3 games in the second half. The Seattle Mariners are on a roll, the offense has heated up, and wins like yesterday only add to the confidence. Also, Logan Gilbert is an above average pitcher who you’re not going to find in the home dog role often. I’ll gladly take a shot with the Mariners and the more favorable price.
