Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 9/1/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Taijuan Walker for the start here and Walker is 4-7 with a 3.63 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. In his career, Walker is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Milwaukee. The Milwaukee Brewers will start Jacob Misiorowski here and Misiorowski is 4-2 with a 4.33 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. This will be Misiorowski’s first career start against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to rebound from their 3-1 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Braves last time out to sit at 79-58 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.

Phillies Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Nick Castellanos has 124 hits with 25 doubles including 16 home runs and 61 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 126 hits with a team-high 49 home runs and 119 RBIs but also has a team-high 161 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 11 stolen bases, 29 doubles, 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 169 hits with 5 triples, 14 home runs, 64 RBIs and a team-high 35 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 17 doubles and Bryson Stott has 17 doubles, 3 triples, 9 homers and 54 RBIs while Stott also has 23 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last 11 games following a home loss.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the Brewers’ last 13 games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last three day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine Monday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (169) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-4 loss at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays last time out to sit at 85-53 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Brewers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Brice Turang has 143 hits with 16 home runs, 68 RBIs and 22 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has 129 hits with a team-high 31 doubles, 18 stolen bases, 18 home runs and 68 RBIs and Sal Frelick has 134 hits as well as 3 triples, 10 home runs, 53 RBIs and 18 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 15 stolen bases with 27 homers and 92 RBIs while also adding 17 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 148 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 17 homers and 69 RBIs as well this season. Joey Ortiz has chipped in 93 hits with 17 doubles, 7 home runs and 43 RBIs and Caleb Durbin also has 22 doubles with 9 homers and 46 RBIs. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last five road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six day games following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Phillies.
• Sal Frelick ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.296) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Brewers’ last eight day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Phillies’ last 14 games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the over here. I think Taijuan Walker can get hit hard in this matchup, as the Brewers offense has been solid as of late and has been coming through and Walker for me is just unbackable especially in his career numbers against the Brew Crew. On the other side, Misiorowski has had a tendency to get hit early in some of his recent games and could definitely find himself in deep against a Phillies team that’s been smashing right-handed pitching lately. I think we have a high-scoring one brewing here so give me the over.