Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/7/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will start Taijuan Walker here and Walker is 4-7 with a 3.92 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Marlins, Walker is 2-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 23 strikeouts. The Miami Marlins did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over the Marlins from Saturday’s matchup to sit at 83-59 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a very important division series against the New York Mets.

Phillies Pick Up 7th Win In Last 9

Nick Castellanos has 126 hits with 25 doubles including 16 home runs and 61 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 128 hits with a team-high 49 home runs and 119 RBIs but also has a team-high 168 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 11 stolen bases, 29 doubles, 23 home runs and 65 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 178 hits with 7 triples, 14 home runs, 68 RBIs and a team-high 36 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 18 doubles and Bryson Stott has 19 doubles, 3 triples, 10 homers and 59 RBIs while Stott also has 23 stolen bases as well this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Phillies to slide to 65-77 this season. After this set, the Marlins will square off against the Washington Nationals in a series at home.

Marlins Lose 5th Straight

Xavier Edwards has 142 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 24 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 101 hits with 24 doubles. Otto Lopez has 113 hits with 18 doubles and 12 home runs with 66 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 19 home runs, 28 doubles and 60 RBIs on the year.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 7, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Phillies have lost six of their last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Phillies at LoanDepot Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker      Record this season: 4-7      ERA: 3.92
• Road Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four day games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Sunday appearances at LoanDepot Park.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Max Kepler has hit a home run in five of his last nine road appearances against the Marlins.
• Bryson Stott has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five day games.
• Taijuan Walker has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 Sunday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Marlins.
• Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (178) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (133).
• The Marlins rank T4th in the league for triples this season (26).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1295).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (386).

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the over here. I think Taijuan Walker could get hit hard in this matchup, by a Marlins lineup that’s still been better against righties than lefties this season and Walker’s been more than hittable this season in all honesty. On the other side, the Marlins haven’t announced a starter but this Phillies lineup is still producing a ton at the plate right now and I think they score some runs here too. Give me the over.