Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 7/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Tigers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, July 12th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 44-51 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL Central. They have a 27-22 home record and are coming off a 2-4 home loss against the Phillies. They will face the Angels and the Cubs next.

The Detroit Tigers have a .236 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 60, adding a team-high 19 home runs.

Tarik Skubal (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Detroit Tigers, and he has a 5-4 record, 3.06 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 53-43 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 28-22 away record and are coming off a 4-2 road win against the Tigers. They will face the Mets and the Dodgers next.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a .236 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 58, adding a team-high 32 home runs.

Zack Wheeler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he has a 9-1 record, 2.28 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers Betting Trends: July 12, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 3.06
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 2-0

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last six day games following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last seven games.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games.
• The Tigers have won the first inning in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as home favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler      Record this season: 9-1      ERA: 2.28
• Road Record: 5-1
• Last 5 against Tigers: 1-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have won 11 of their last 14 games against the Tigers.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against the Tigers at Comerica Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs against the Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Tarik Skubal’s last nine appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in six of the Tigers’ last seven games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 12 games as home favorites.
• Kevin McGonigle ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Derek Hill has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against the Tigers.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (31).
• The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (19).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (935).
• The Phillies rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).

Phillies vs Tigers Prediction

The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Tigers and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Detroit.

In this Phillies vs Tigers Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -120 home favorites. We got ourselves a big pitchers duel in this game as Tarik Skubal goes up against Zack Wheeler. Both pitchers have a combined 5.34 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP and both have been in excellent form, having given up one run in four of their last five starts combined. The Tigers have the 11th-best bullpen in baseball and are just 24th against righties in the last 10 days and both teams combined for just six runs yesterday and are 10-4 to the under in their last 14 games combined. Take the under 7 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 7