Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 8/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-49 on the year and play the Nationals, Mariners, and Nationals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .255 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .418 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 134 hits and 51 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 223 hits and 155 RBI. 

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 4-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Walker is 3-1 with a 4.23 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 62-57 on the year and play the Brewers, Angels, and Diamondbacks next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .246 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 127 hits and 74 RBI while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 209 hits and 93 RBI.

Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 8-2 with a 2.34 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. Abbott is 0-0 with a 4.85 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last five night games at Great American Ball Park following a road win.
• The Phillies have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against the Reds following a road win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
• The Reds have covered the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Reds have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Austin Hays has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
• Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Monday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 13 road games against the Reds.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last five road games against the Reds.
• Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (134) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

You can make a case for the Reds with Abbott on the mound, as he’s been strong this season with a 2.34 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. However, the Reds continue to run hit or miss, while the Phillies are rolling with wins in six of their last seven games. Walker has also allowed just 28 hits and nine runs in his last 27.1 innings. In 35.1 road innings, Walker has a 2.80 ERA and .250 allowed batting average. Should be a fun pitching matchup, but I’m rolling with the Phillies as the hotter team.