Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 7/6/24

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Atlanta Braves (47-38) vs Philadelphia Phillies (57-30)

July 6, 2024 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -106 / Philadelphia Phillies -111 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 6th at Target Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Phillies form and recent player performance 

-The Braves recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta

-Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Atlanta

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Phillies and Braves.

Phillies Offense Impressed

The Phillies’ offense sure impressed on Friday, scoring eight runs on the way to the victory. The Phillies are averaging 4.97 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.63 runs per game. The offense is ranked 5th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 1st. They do have a run differential of 1.35 which is 1st in the league. Bryce Harper has hit 20 home runs and driven in 48 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Ranger Suarez, who sits with a 10-2 record and an ERA of 2.27. In his last start against the Marlins, he went 4.2 innings giving up 10 hits and six runs. 

Why the Phillies Will Beat the Braves 

  • The Phillies have won each of their last eight Saturday night games against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have lost each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Braves Have Some Issues

The Braves have been inconsistent the last couple of months, and on Friday it was the pitching that was the issue. The Braves scored six runs, but it wasn’t enough as they ended up losing by two runs. Max Fried wasn’t good enough, giving up 11 hits. Marcell Ozuna did have a strong game, hitting a home run and driving in three RBis. The Braves are averaging 4.26 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.67 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 2nd. The run differential is 0.6 which is 7th in the league. Getting the start for the Braves will be Spencer Schwellenbach, who sits with a 1-4 record and an ERA of 5.68. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, he went five innings giving up five hits and four runs. 

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Suarez really struggled in his last start, but he still sits with an ERA of 2.27, and he’s going to really step up again here. The Braves’ offense has been inconsistent, and they are going to really struggle to get going here. Schwellenbach gave up four runs in his last start, and he sits with an ERA of 5.68. The Braves won’t have the offense to keep up, and the Phillies will get the job done. Back the Phillies.

Shane Mickle's Pick: Phillies ML

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