Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 06/27/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 27, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.


Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (47-34, 21-20 Away) were in fine form after winning four straight series, but then they disappointed in Houston, losing all three games to suffer a sweep. Philadelphia scored just one run in those three losses! In last night’s 2-1 defeat to the Astros, Brandon Marsh drove in the lone run, while Christopher Sanchez pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on five hits with 11 strikeouts and no walks. Orion Kerkering took the loss.

This season, the Phillies average 4.57 runs per game (11th in the MLB) on a .254/.328/.399 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.82 ERA (11th) and 1.26 WHIP (15th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .247 batting average, 24 home runs, and 55 RBI this season.

Mick Abel will take the mound for the Phillies on Friday. The 23-year-old right-hander has a 2-1 record in five starts this year with a 3.47 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 23.1 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (37-43, 22-15 Home) spent the previous two series on the road, playing against the Miami Marlins and New York Mets but failing to record a win. Following a loss to the Marlins, the Braves opened a series against the Mets with a couple of wins, but they had to settle for a split as the hosts responded with two wins. In Thursday’s 4-0 defeat, the Braves had just three hits and haven’t scored a run in a game for the first time in a month. Grant Holmes took the loss after allowing two runs on six hits with six strikeouts and three walks in 5.0 innings.

This year, the Braves average 4.15 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .243/.318/.380 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.71 ERA (10th) and 1.22 WHIP (10th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .257 batting average, 15 home runs, and 52 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Bryce Elder, who is 2-4 in 12 starts this season, with a 4.77 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 66.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Phillies’ last nine road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Twenty-two of the Braves’ last 27 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six night games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Phillies’ last 12 games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

The Braves rank 26th in the league for steals this season (42).
The Braves rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (610).
The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
The Phillies rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.328).

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

The Phillies won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, while this season, the series is currently tied at 3-3. The last two meetings went Over, and considering the starting pitcher for this clash, I am going with another Over. Mick Abel is a talented guy, but he struggles with homers (seven allowed in his last three starts), and I am sure the Braves will be ready to send some of those many fly balls to the stands. Bryce Elder, on the other hand, allowed multiple runs in six of his previous eight starts, including nine in the last two. These offenses didn’t have a lot of luck recently, especially the Phillies, and I think they will bounce back here. Back the Over.