Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 8/10/24

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Arizona Diamondbacks (64-53) vs Philadelphia Phillies (69-47)

August 10, 2024 at 08:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -106 / Philadelphia Phillies -111 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 10th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Phillies recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Diamondbacks recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Arizona 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Arizona 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Philadelphia and Arizona 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-47 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Philadelphia won the first game in this series on Thursday by a score of 6-4, but they lost game two. Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Dodgers, lost two out of three against the Mariners, and lost all three against the Yankees. Philadelphia is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 566 runs with a .256 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .278 with 26 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 64-53 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Arizona lost the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 3-2 on Friday. Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks swept the Guardians in three games, won two out of three against the Pirates, and swept the Nationals in three games. Arizona is 13-3 in their last 16 games and they are third in the NL West. 

The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 601 runs with a .258 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Ketel Marte is batting .297 with 29 home runs and 80 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Zac Gallen, who is 9-5 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 100.2 innings pitched this year. Gallen has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 11-5 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this season. Nola has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Diamondbacks

  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Phillies and Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against the Phillies following a win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday night games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Phillies’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six Saturday games against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
  • Eugenio Suarez has scored at least one run in 12 of the Diamondbacks’ last 13 games as home favorites.
  • Joc Pederson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games as road underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last three games against NL opponents.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded an RBI in each of the Phillies’ last three games against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
  • Nick Castellanos has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last six road games against NL West opponents.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies’ last five games against the Diamondbacks.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Saturday night appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 

Arizona rolls into this game after winning game two on Friday night and they are one of the hotter teams in the MLB right now. The Diamondbacks are right with the Dodgers and Padres in the NL West and they are 32-26 at home this year. Philadelphia is 31-26 on the road, but they have struggled over the last few weeks. The Phillies continue to lead the NL East, but the Mets are starting to get within striking distance. Gallen is coming off of a rough start last time out for Arizona, while Nola has been pretty sharp recently. My Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction is for the Phillies to get the win. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies ML

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