In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 16th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 30-40 this year after they swept the Angels in three games by scores of 2-0, 6-5, and 11-2. In their game three win, Baltimore was tied at two in the third inning, but they scored the last nine runs in the game for the easy win. The Orioles recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Sanchez, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Blewett, who allowed two hits and two earned runs over 2.2 innings, while Povich allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 3.2 innings for the win. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Athletics. Baltimore has won four of their last five games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .265 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 279 runs with a .241 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 11 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 10 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Zach Eflin, who is 6-2 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 53.0 innings pitched this year. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 39-32 this season after they swept the Mets by scores of 7-5, 8-4, and 9-0. In their game three win, Tampa Bay scored four runs in the second/third inning and added two in the fifth and three in the ninth for the blowout win. The Rays recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Caminero, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Baz, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Orze pitched a scoreless 1.2 innings in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Tampa Bay has won five of their last seven games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 325 runs with a .248 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 17 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 13 home runs and 37 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 3-6 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 81.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rays will beat the Orioles
The Rays have won each of their last nine games as home favorites against American League opponents.
The Orioles have lost each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home win.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home win.
The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games against AL East opponents.
The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.

Total Runs Facts
Four of the Orioles’ last five night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Rays’ last five home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four night games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rays’ last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Brandon Lowe has recorded an RBI in each of the Rays’ last three games as favorites.
Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of the Rays’ last four games.
Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 games as favorites against AL opponents.
Jonathan Aranda ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.319) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
Adley Rutschman has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Zach Eflin has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last eight Monday night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Dylan Carlson has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
Zach Eflin has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts
The Rays rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (263).
The Rays rank T26th in the league for triples this season (4).
The Orioles rank 27th in the league for hits allowed this season (635).
The Orioles rank 26th in the league for walks this season (199).

Orioles vs Rays Prediction 
Both of these teams come into this matchup after picking up a series sweep over the weekend, but Tampa Bay has been the hotter team and they will be at home. The Rays are 23-20 at home this year, while the Orioles are 14-21 on the road. Baltimore has scored at least six runs in three of their last five games, but they will face Pepiot, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The Orioles will start Eflin, who has been up and down this year, but has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three outings. This should be a pretty good series, but I think the Rays have the advantage in game one. 

David Racey's Pick: Rays ML