Jul 31, 2024; Paris, France; Coco Gauff (USA) and Jessica Pegula (USA) during the Paris 2024 Olympic Summer Games at Stade Roland Garros. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Prediction 7/7/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

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Wimbledon Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula

08:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Coco Gauff +125 / Jessica Pegula -154

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Coco Gauff will face compatriot Jessica Pegula in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Wimbledon Championships. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, July 7th. Both women will bid to reach the semifinals for the first time. For Gauff, this is already her career-best run at Wimbledon, while Pegula lost her only previous quarterfinal three years ago. Here’s our Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula prediction. This preview will include a Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula pick.

Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Preview

Coco Gauff survived another three-set tussle to reach the Wimbledon quarterfinals for the first time. With her back against the wall after dropping the first set 6-4 in 50 minutes, Gauff fought back to beat Belinda Bencic 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 in two hours and 19 minutes.

In the victory, Gauff hit 35 winners and 46 unforced errors. Gauff hit 4 aces and 9 double faults. She landed 59% of first serves in play and won 69% of first serve points (40/58). Gauff won 40% of second serve points (16/40) and saved three of seven break points in the match.

Before this round, Gauff had beaten Tamara Korpatsch, Solana Sierra and Claire Liu, with each of her last three matches going the full distance. This is her best run at Wimbledon, so can she make it to the last four?

Jessica Pegula is quietly emerging as the top favorite to win the tournament. Thanks to a succession of top seeds tumbling early, Pegula remains the most experienced grass-court player in the draw and she proved with a battling three-set victory against fellow American Iva Jovic.

Like Gauff, Pegula managed to recover from dropping the opening set, and totally dominated the next two sets. She lost just four games in two sets to prevail 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 in two hours and 13 minutes. In the victory, Pegula hit 21 winners and 33 unforced errors. She landed 62% of first serves in play and won 64% of first serve points (30/47).

Pegula won 41% of second serve points (12/29) and saved three of eight break points on her serve. This is Pegula’s second quarterfinal at Wimbledon. She lost to eventual champion Marketa Vondrousova back in 2023.

Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Head-To-Head

Gauff and Pegula have met eight times. Pegula leads the series 5-3. On grass, they are tied at 1-1. Remarkably, they have never played in a Grand Slam before this.

Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

Pegula is arguably the most experienced player on grass left in the draw at Wimbledon and would be the deserved favorite here. She’s owned this matchup too and beat Gauff in their last match at the 2025 WTA Finals. But Coco has pretty much defied the odds to get here and I think her performance against Bencic should give her a lot of belief going into this quarterfinal. She just needs a bit more control with that second serve, but as long as she can rack up the winners count, she can put Pegula under pressure. I’ll take Gauff here.

Nur Said's Pick: Gauff in three sets

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