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Orioles vs Mariners Prediction 6/3/25 MLB Picks

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Seattle Mariners (32-26) vs Baltimore Orioles (22-36)

June 3, 2025 at 09:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -162 / Baltimore Orioles +136 — Over/Under: 7.5

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In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 3rd at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 22-36 this year after they swept the White Sox in three games by scores of 2-1, 4-2, and 3-2. In their game three win, Baltimore led 2-0 early in the game and they added the eventual game winning run in the sixth to get the win. The Orioles recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Carlson, O’Hearn, and Urias, who all had one RBI in the win. Baltimore started Morton, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Baker picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Cardinals and split four games with the Red Sox. Baltimore has won six of their last eight games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.27 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .272 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 222 runs with a .237 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this season. Ryan O’Hearn has led Baltimore with nine home runs and 22 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added seven home runs and 25 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 4-3 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 64.0 innings pitched this year. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 32-26 this season after they won two out of three against the Twins by scores of 6-12, 5-4, and 2-1. In their game three win, Seattle allowed the Twins to tie the game in the top of the ninth, but they got a walk off single in the bottom of the ninth for the win. The Mariners recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Raleigh and Arozarena, who both had one RBI in the win. Seattle started Castillo, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Munoz blew the save, but also picked up the win. 

Prior to that series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Nationals and three out of four against the Astros. Seattle has lost five of their last eight games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 263 runs with a .237 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 23 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez has added 10 home runs and 32 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over 8.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Mariners 

  • The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Orioles and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
  • The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the Mariners’ last 12 games.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mariners’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Orioles’ last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games at T-Mobile Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Orioles and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last three home games against AL opponents.
  • George Kirby has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mariners’ last six games against AL opponents at T-Mobile Park.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mariners’ last seven Tuesday games.
  • Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine games at T-Mobile Park.
  • Julio Rodriguez has scored at least one run in eight of the Mariners’ last nine games as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • George Kirby has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Mariners as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Colton Cowser has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in six of the Orioles’ last seven road games against AL opponents.
  • Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Single in each of his six previous appearances at T-Mobile Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as road underdogs.
  • Ramon Laureano has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.

Orioles vs Mariners Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this series with a little momentum, which is something they haven’t had much of this season. The Orioles are 10-19 on the road this year, while the Mariners are 16-14 at home. Seattle has struggled over the last ten days, but they have won two games in a row. The Mariners are starting Kirby, who has allowed 11 earned runs and 13 hits over his first two starts (8.2 IP). The Orioles are going with Sugano, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. I know Kirby is going to eventually settle in, but I have to fade him until I see improvement. Take Baltimore on the road here. 

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML

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