Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 07/28/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Seattle Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 28^th at the Sutter Health Park in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 46-62 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL West. The Athletics have a 20-31 home record and are 57-46 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-1 road victory over the Astros, and have four straight wins. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Nationals next.

The Athletics have a .250 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .425 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 5.10 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 115 hits and he is the team’s best hitter with a .312 batting average. Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 60 RBI, while Nick Kurtlz adds a team-high 23 home runs. 

JP Sears (L) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has a 7-8 record, 4.98 ERA and 1.25 WHIP.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 56-50 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Marinershave a 28-26 road record and are 58-43 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-4 road defeat by the Angels, and are 3-5 in their last 8 games. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games and they are playing the White Sox and the Rangers next.

The Mariners have a .245 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 111, while JP Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .268 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 86, and in home runs with 41.

Luis Castillo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 7-6 record, 3.30 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

Why the Athletics will win

• The Athletics have won each of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a road win.
• The Mariners have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Mariners and Athletics.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Athletics have won the first inning in each of their last three games against AL West opponents.
• The Athletics have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Athletics have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last five games against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Athletics have lost each of their last four night games at Sutter Health Park following a win.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Athletics’ last five games.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight home games against AL West opponents.
• The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Monday home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Athletics’ last seven home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mariners’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mariners’ last nine games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Athletics’ last eight home games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (157).
• The Athletics rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (969).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Mariners rank T28th in the league for doubles this season (146).

Seattle Mariners vs Athletics Prediction

The Mariners are 7-3 in their last 10 overall meetings against the Athletics, and are 4-3 in their 7 meetings this season. The Mariners won their previous series in Sacramento this season by 2-1 wins, and under is 4-2-1 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Seattle Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -130 road favorites. The Mariners are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and are facing an Athletics team that has been terrible at home. I don’t trust either pitching in this matchup, as Castillo has been weaker on the road, as is Sears at home. The Mariners have been struggling against left-handed pitching this season, and the A’s are coming off a dominating series sweep against the Astros with a combined 32-7 score. I will take a stab with the home dog in this matchup and take the Athletics at plus money.