Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 7/11/24

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Boston Red Sox (50-40) vs Oakland Athletics (34-59)

July 11, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -250 / Oakland Athletics +205 — Over/Under: 9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Oakland Athletics and Boston Red Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 11th at Fenway Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Athletics recent form and recent player performance 

-The Boston Red Sox recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Oakland

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Oakland and Boston. 

A’s Showing Strides

The A’s still haven’t had many wins this season but they are finally showing some signs of life, and maybe the rebuild will be over soon. On Wednesday the pitching was good giving up only two runs and they ended up winning by three. Lawrence Butler finished with two hits and two RBIs. Oakland on the season is averaging 3.83 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.82 runs per game. The offense is ranked 28th in the league while the pitching is ranked 25th. They do have one of the worst run differentials in baseball at -0.99 runs per game. Brent Rooker has been the top offensive player of the year hitting 18 home runs and driving in 55 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the A’s will be Lus Medina who sits with a 2-3 record and an ERA of 4.37. In his last start against the Orioles, he went five innings giving up six hits and one run. 

Why the A’s Will Beat the Red Sox

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against AL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The road team has won four of the last five games between the Athletics and Red Sox.
  • The Athletics have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Red Sox Fell Short

The Red Sox fell short on Wednesday. The Red Sox’s offense only scored two runs and they ended up losing by three. Nick Pivetta wasn’t good enough going 6.2 innings giving up six hits and four runs. The Red Sox are averaging 4.68 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.25 runs per game. The offense is ranked 11th in the league while the pitching is ranked 12th. Rafael Devers has hit 21 home runs and driven in 58 RBIs. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Tanner Houck who sits with a 7-6 record and an ERA of 2.68. In his last start against the Yankees, he went 3.1 innings giving up two hits and three runs. 

Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

There is value here with the A’s. Houck has been good this season, but Medina was lights out in his last start and he’s going to continue that success here. Medina gave up only one run in five innings in his last start and he’s going to have another strong start here. The Red Sox bats are going to be ice cold here, and it will be Oakland that will end up coming out on top. Back the A’s on the money line. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: A's ML

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