New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 7/11/24

Tampa Bay Rays (44-46) vs New York Yankees (55-37)

Game Info: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 6:50 pm (Tropicana Field)

Shane Baz (0-1) (4.50) vs Nestor Cortes (4-7) (3.41)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays +113 / New York Yankees -133 --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Thursday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

The Tampa Bay Rays recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays

Recent betting trends in games played between the Yankees and Rays

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Yankees vs Rays game

New York Yankees Betting Preview

New York took on the rival Boston Red Sox over the weekend and didn’t do very well. The Yankees won 14-4 on Saturday but otherwise took losses 5-3 and 3-0. After a 5-3 loss to the Rays in the opener, on Wednesday New York was able to finally get a win 2-1. Marcus Stroman left after 4.1 innings with one earned on seven hits and two walks.

In the starter role for the Thursday finale the Yankees will send out Nestor Cortes. This year Cortes is 4-7 with a 3.41 ERA in 19 starts. Cortes has a career record of 28-18 with a 3.73 ERA in 123 games (75 starts).

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Over on the Rays’ side, they played the Texas Rangers in their weekend series. Tampa Bay got swept in that one with losses 3-0, 4-3 and 13-2. Following their two-run win over New York on Tuesday, in game two the Rays had 10 team hits but plated just one run. Starter Zach Eflin lasted 7.0 innings with one earned run.

It’ll be Shane Baz in the start for the Rays on Thursday. This year Baz is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA following his lone start. Over his career Baz is 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA in 10 starts. The Rays will face the Guardians following this series.

Yankees vs Rays Pick Injury Notes

Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) could begin a minor-league rehab assignment later in July.

Rays SP Drew Rasmussen (elbow) will likely be brought back as a reliever this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Yankees' last eight games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Three of the Rays' last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Siri has scored at least one run in four of the Rays' last five games as home underdogs against the Yankees.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays' last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in two of the Rays' last three games as home underdogs.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in three of the Rays' last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays' last 16 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays' last 16 games as underdogs against AL opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Trevino has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Anthony Rizzo has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against the Rays.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees' last seven games as road favorites.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

I’ll stay with the Rays. Most of that is due to not being able to trust the Yankees these days, though. Baz didn’t pitch especially well in his debut with three earned on seven hits and a walk versus the Rangers. That said, he did make it through 6.0 innings. As for Cortes, he’s coming off 6.0 innings with one earned versus Boston. Cortes went 0-2 in his previous two starts, though.

On Wednesday the Rays got on base a lot with their 10 team hits. That said, Tampa couldn’t cash in on much of anything outside of Yandy Diaz’s lone RBI. The good news is that the pitching staff was pretty great (one earned run total). I like the Rays to bounce back and win the series in the rubber match. Should be a good game.

Andrew’s Pick Tampa Bay Rays +113

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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