Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 7/11/24

Baltimore Orioles (57-34) vs Chicago Cubs (43-49)

July 11, 2024 at 06:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -132 / Chicago Cubs +111 — Over/Under: 9

The Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 44-49 on the year and play the Cardinals and Diamondbacks next. The Chicago Cubs have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Chicago Cubs have won 5 straight games when scoring at least 1 run. Cody Bellinger leads the Chicago Cubs with 84 hits and 37 RBI, while Nico Hoerner and Ian Happ have combined for 152 hits and 81 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 57-35 on the year and play the Yankees and Rangers next. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Baltimore Orioles have lost 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 105 hits and 61 RBI, while Adley Ruschman and Jordan Westburg have combined for 191 hits and 109 RBI.

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Pick Matchup

Justin Steele gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 1-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Steele has allowed 9 hits and 4 runs in his last 15 innings. Steele has a 2.79 ERA and .213 allowed batting average in 42 road innings. Steele is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Albert Suarez gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 7 hits and 2 runs in his last 12 innings. Suarez has a 1.50 ERA and .212 allowed batting average in 30 home innings. Suarez is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will Beat the Cubs

The Cubs have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following a road win.
The Orioles have won seven of their last eight Thursday games against NL Central opponents.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
The Orioles have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 Thursday night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

Austin Hays has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Anthony Santander has hit a home run in each of his last three Thursday night appearances with the Orioles as favorites.
Jorge Mateo has scored at least one run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Austin Hays has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his eight previous appearances against the Cubs.
Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six games as favorites.
Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 home appearances.
Gunnar Henderson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.594) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Ian Happ has hit at least one home run in two of the Cubs’ last three games as underdogs.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Cubs’ last six night games.
Justin Steele has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs.
Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last four games as road underdogs.
Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last seven games against AL opponents.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.457).
The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (466).
The Chicago Cubs rank 6th in the league for strikeouts this season (812).
The Chicago Cubs rank T24th in the league for home runs this season (90).