Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 7/11/24

Baltimore Orioles (57-34) vs Chicago Cubs (43-49)

Game Info: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 6:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Albert Suarez (5-2) (2.48) vs Justin Steele (1-3) (3.18)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -132 / Chicago Cubs +111 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 44-49 on the year and play the Cardinals and Diamondbacks next. The Chicago Cubs have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Chicago Cubs have won 5 straight games when scoring at least 1 run. Cody Bellinger leads the Chicago Cubs with 84 hits and 37 RBI, while Nico Hoerner and Ian Happ have combined for 152 hits and 81 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 57-35 on the year and play the Yankees and Rangers next. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Baltimore Orioles have lost 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 105 hits and 61 RBI, while Adley Ruschman and Jordan Westburg have combined for 191 hits and 109 RBI.

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Pick Matchup

Justin Steele gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 1-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Steele has allowed 9 hits and 4 runs in his last 15 innings. Steele has a 2.79 ERA and .213 allowed batting average in 42 road innings. Steele is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Albert Suarez gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 7 hits and 2 runs in his last 12 innings. Suarez has a 1.50 ERA and .212 allowed batting average in 30 home innings. Suarez is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will Beat the Cubs

  • The Cubs have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following a road win.
  • The Orioles have won seven of their last eight Thursday games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 Thursday night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Hays has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Santander has hit a home run in each of his last three Thursday night appearances with the Orioles as favorites.
  • Jorge Mateo has scored at least one run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Austin Hays has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his eight previous appearances against the Cubs.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles' last six games as favorites.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 home appearances.
  • Gunnar Henderson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.594) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Ian Happ has hit at least one home run in two of the Cubs' last three games as underdogs.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Cubs' last six night games.
  • Justin Steele has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs.
  • Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs' last four games as road underdogs.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs' last seven games against AL opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs' last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs' last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.457).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (466).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 6th in the league for strikeouts this season (812).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T24th in the league for home runs this season (90).

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I considered the Chicago Cubs and the plus money because Justin Steele has been solid, but we're not getting enough plus money to pull the trigger. The Baltimore Orioles are comfortably the better team, and their offense is due for a bounce back performance. Albert Suarez has also pitched on an all star level despite the smallish sample size compared to other starting pitchers. The price is reasonable. Give me the Orioles to win game 3 against the Cubs on Thursday.

Randy’s Pick Baltimore Orioles -132

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Monday 7/22/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss