Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 7/11/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (45-47) vs Atlanta Braves (51-39)

Game Info: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

Brandon Pfaadt (3-6) (4.19) vs Max Fried (7-4) (3.18)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +130 / Atlanta Braves -142 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Thursday in MLB game 4 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 51-40 on the season and play the Padres and Cardinals next. The Atlanta Braves have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 straight games. The Atlanta Braves have won 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 100 hits and 75 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 166 hits and 87 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks look to get back to a .500 record before playing the Blue Jays and Cubs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 10 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 98 hits and 52 RBI while Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 185 hits and 121 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Pick Matchup

Max Fried gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 7-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. Fried has allowed 17 hits and 6 runs in his last 12 innings. Fried has a 2.90 ERA and .174 allowed batting average in 59 road innings. Fried is 1-0 with a 4.84 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 3-6 with a 4.19 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. Pfaadt has allowed 12 hits and 2 runs in his last 10.1 innings. Pfaadt missed his last start due to an ankle injury. This will be Pfaadt’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will Beat the Braves

  • The Braves have lost four of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Braves at Chase Field.
  • Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Diamondbacks' last seven Thursday games.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Pfaadt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Pavin Smith has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Double in each of the Braves' last five Thursday games.
  • Eddie Rosario has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last six games at Chase Field.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Braves' last five night games.
  • Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Ramon Laureano has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.568) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.263).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (841).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (173).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.44).

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The Atlanta Braves should get the benefit of the doubt because they're the better team, the offense has found its groove and Max Fried is an all star caliber pitcher. With that said, we're getting good plus money with the Arizona Diamondbacks at home, and they're putting up crooked numbers offensively as well lately. Brandon Pfaadt has also more than held his own this season, and he can miss a ton of bats once he gets in his groove. The Diamondbacks are more than capable of pulling off the upset. Give me the home dog.

Randy’s Pick Arizona Diamondbacks +130

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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