Jul 25, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi (17) pitches during the game between the Texas Rangers and the Atlanta Braves at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Prediction 08/05/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

New York (60-53) vs Texas (59-55)

August 5, 2025 at 08:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 5, at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (60-53, 26-31 Away) are now on a four-game losing skid after opening the current series against the Rangers with an 8-5 extra-innings defeat on Monday. Prior to that, the Yankees were swept by the Miami Marlins in three games. Last night, Giancarlo Stanton led the offense with two RBI, while Max Fried pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on eight hits with seven strikeouts and three walks. Jake Bird took the loss.

This season, the Yankees average 5.17 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .252/.330/.450 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 4.05 ERA (17th) and 1.25 WHIP (14th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .342 batting average, 37 home runs, and 85 RBI this season.

Will Warren will take the mound for the Yankees on Tuesday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 6-5 record in 23 starts this year with a 3.58 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 110.2 innings.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers (59-55, 35-20 Home) returned home from back-to-back road losses to the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners and opened the series against the Yankees with an 8-5 extra-inning victory. Josh Jung blasted a three-run homer in the 10th inning to give his team a W, while Patrick Corbin pitched for 3.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on six hits with three strikeouts and three walks. Danny Coulombe was credited with the win.

This year, the Rangers average 4.12 runs per game (25th in the MLB) on a .231/.299/.377 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.26 ERA (1st) and 1.16 WHIP (1st). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .225 batting average, 16 home runs, and 63 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Rangers is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 9-3 in 18 starts this season, with a 1.49 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 103.0 innings.

Why the Rangers will beat the Yankees

  • The Rangers have won each of their last seven home games.
  • The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last six road games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last five games between the Yankees and Rangers at Globe Life Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rangers’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five games as road underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (404).
  • The Rangers rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.300).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.451).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (426).

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction

The Yankees won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the four meetings this season. The Yanks swept the Rangers earlier this season at home, but I think Texas could return the favor. I am backing the hosts to win on Tuesday, mainly because of Nathan Eovaldi, who is one of the most serious candidates for the AL Cy Young Award. Eovaldi was fantastic in July, posting a 0.59 ERA and now allowing more than a run in his five starts. Will Warren, on the other hand, surrendered multiple runs in four of his previous six starts, and he registered a 5.34 ERA in July. I am giving an advantage to Eovaldi and the Rangers.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Rangers ML

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