Jul 23, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN;  New York Yankees designated hitter Aaron Judge (99) hits a two run home run against the Toronto Blue Jays in the sixth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images

New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Prediction 08/04/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

New York (60-52) vs Texas (58-55)

August 4, 2025 at 08:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas +125 — Over/Under: +8

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and the Texas Rangers meet Monday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will start Max Fried here and Fried is 12-4 with a 2.62 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. The Texas Rangers will send out Patrick Corbin here and Corbin is 6-7 with a 3.78 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-3 loss at the hands of the Miami Marlins last time out to sit at 60-52 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Houston Astros.

Yankees Looking To Rebound From Sweep

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 129 hits including 37 home runs, 85 RBIs, 24 doubles and a .342 batting average along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 23 doubles with 14 stolen bases, 17 home runs and 60 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 16 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 104 hits with 24 doubles and a .277 batting average while Volpe also has 106 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 70 hits with 18 doubles, 16 home runs and 35 RBIs while Cody Bellinger has 20 homers with 65 RBIs and Austin Wells has 15 home runs and 56 RBIs with Bellinger logging 20 doubles and Wells chipping in 15 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 20 home runs and 44 RBIs and Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 19 home runs and 51 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Rangers have lost each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last six games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six night games.
  • Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as road favorites.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last five Monday games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Max Fried ranks T1st in the league for Wins (12) this season.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Seattle Mariners last time out to sit at 58-55 this season. After this series, the Rangers will square off against the Philadelphia Phillies at home.

Rangers Drop 5 Of Their Last 7 Games

Corey Seager has 79 hits including 16 home runs and 40 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 92 hits with 21 doubles, 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 10 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 77 hits with 10 doubles, 10 home runs and 40 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 84 hits with 16 doubles, 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 15 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 9 homers and 35 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 95 hits with 17 doubles, 9 home runs and 29 RBIs with 9 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 13 homers and 55 RBIs but has 85 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have won each of their last six games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games at Globe Life Field.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Marcus Semien has recorded a Double in each of the Rangers’ last three night games.
  • Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of the Rangers’ last two home games against AL opponents.
  • Patrick Corbin has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 12 home games against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Ten of the Yankees’ last 11 games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Yankees and Rangers at Globe Life Field have gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Yankees here. It may not seem like the best strategy given how New York looked against Miami, but the thing for me is that Max Fried has been their ace this season and is good enough to go deep into this game which negates the biggest weakness from New York’s recent series, and that’s been their bullpen. The Rangers haven’t been great against lefties and I think Patrick Corbin is still pitching slightly above his pay grade. Give me the Yankees in this one to snap out of their funk.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York Yankees -140

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