Pick details
| MATCHUP | New York Yankees | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Spread | -1.5 153 | +1.5 -186 |
| Moneyline | -112 | -108 |
| Total | Over 7 (-105) | Under 7 (-115) |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The New York Yankees and the Seattle Mariners will meet on Tuesday evening at T‑Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees finished the 2025 season with a 94–68 win‑loss record, placing second in the American League East and returning to the postseason. New York enters 2026 with a deeper rotation, a healthier core, and a starting lineup that is built around power and batters getting on base at a high rate. One of New York’s biggest strengths last season was the Yankees performance on the road, where they posted a 44–37 record, a mark that helped stabilize the team’s 2025 playoff run.
Shifting our attention to the 2026 regular season, the New York Yankees have compiled a 3-0 record, including a 3-1 victory over the San Francisco Giants two days ago.
New York will start Max Fried, who joined the Yankees to anchor the front of the rotation. Fried finished the 2025 season with a 19–5 record, 2.86 ERA, 189 strikeouts, 51 walks, a 1.10 WHIP (15th in MLB) in 195.1 innings pitched showcasing elite command of the baseball. Clearly, Fried has established himself as one of the most effective starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
The Yankees return several key offensive contributors, including Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger, both of whom remain central to the team’s offensive identity. Let’s take a quick look at the relevant statistical data from last season to better shed light on the contributions of these two batters to the Yankees overall success in 2025:
• Aaron Judge tallied a .331 batting average, 53 home runs, 30 doubles, 179 RBIs, 124 walks and a 1.144 OPS leading the Yankees in nearly every offensive category.
• Cody Bellinger posted a .272 batting average, 29 home runs, 98 RBIs, 25 doubles, 13 stolen bases and an .813 OPS.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners finished the 2025 season with a 90–72 win‑loss record, winning the American League West and returning to the postseason as division champions. Seattle enters the 2026 regular season with one of the most complete starting pitching rotations in the American League. The Mariners paired a 51–30 home record with a 39-42 mark on the road.
Seattle will start Logan Gilbert tomorrow night. Gilbert continues to develop into one of the most reliable right‑handed starters in the American League. Gilbert compiled a 6–6 record, 3.44 ERA, 173 strikeouts, a 1.03 WHIP in 131 innings pitched last season.
The Mariners return a deep and powerful lineup featuring Julio Rodríguez and Cal Raleigh, both of whom remain central to the Mariners offensive production. Let’s examine the player data from 2025 for these two batters:
• Outfielder Julio Rodríguez compiled a .267 batting average, 32 home runs, 174 hits, 31 doubles, 95 RBIs, 30 stolen bases and an .798 OPS.
• Catcher Cal Raleigh posted a .247 average, 60 home runs, 147 hits, 97 walks, 125 RBIs, and a .948 OPS.
Why the New York Yankees will win.
• Max Fried provides a high‑floor left‑handed arm capable of controlling the early innings.
• New York returns a powerful offensive core led by Judge and Bellinger.
• The Yankees improved their rotation depth entering 2026 giving the team more stability behind Fried.
• New York’s lineup balance allows them to pressure opposing starters in the early innings.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win.
• Seattle enters 2026 as the defending AL West Champions with one of the league’s deepest pitching staffs.
• Logan Gilbert gives the Mariners a clear swing‑and‑miss advantage with a more polished fastball‑slider mix.
• The lineup is deeper and more athletic with Rodríguez and Raleigh anchoring the Mariners offense.
• T‑Mobile Park remains one of the toughest environments for visiting teams.
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction
New York starting pitcher Max Fried may dominate the early innings, but this matchup tilts to Seattle’s side once the Yankees turns to its unreliable bullpen. I see both offenses finding success in this matchup. With that said, I think going with the total rather than a side is the clear way to go in this one. For the reasons just noted, I’m backing over 6.5 runs in this game.
Hans Geevers's Pick: Over 6.5
