New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 6/12/25 MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals meet Thursday in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. This article will include a New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 41-25 on the year and play the Red Sox, Angels, and Orioles next. The New York Yankees are batting .261 on the season, have a .345 OBP, and a .468 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 98 hits and 59 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger have combined for 136 hits and 67 RBI. 

Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 4-3 with a 5.34 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. This will be Warren’s first career game against the Kansas City Royals.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 34-34 on the year and play the Athletics, Rangers, and Padres next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .253 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .372 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 76 hits and 37 RBI while Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino have combined for 147 hits and 69 RBI.

Seth Lugo gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 3-5 with a 3.46 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Lugo is 5-3 with a 3.00 ERA and 49 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four Thursday games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Royals have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a road win.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last seven games against the Royals.
• The Royals have lost each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games at Kauffman Stadium following a win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Thursday night games as underdogs.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan India has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Royals’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has scored a run in each of the Royals’ last five games against AL opponents.
• Seth Lugo has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last nine night games against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last five road games.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in five of the Yankees’ last six games as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Single in each of his last eight road appearances against the Royals.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.394) this season.

New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Yankees should be favored as they’re piling up the wins and their offense has been on fire. However, this price is a bit steep when you consider Warren has allowed 31 hits and 19 earned runs in his last 33.1 innings. In 31.2 road innings, Warren has a 6.54 ERA and a .276 allowed batting average. We’re getting plus money with the better pitcher, as Lugo has a 3.46 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the season. In 40.2 home innings, Lugo has a 3.10 ERA. I’ll take a shot with the Royals and the more favorable price with the more trustworthy pitcher.