New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9/18/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 85-67 on the year and play the White Sox and Orioles next. The New York Yankees are batting .250 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .455 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 167 hits and 103 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 281 hits and 140 RBI.

Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 17-5 with a 3.03 ERA and 169 strikeouts this season. Fried is 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 72-80 on the year and play the Rays and Yankees next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 148 hits and 64 RBI while Jackson Holliday and Jordan Westburg have combined for 218 hits and 89 RBI.

Cade Povich gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 3-7 with a 5.05 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. Povich is 0-1 with a 4.30 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: September 18, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Povich      Record this season: 3-7      ERA: 5.05
• Home Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Yankees: 0-1

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have won six of their last seven games as underdogs following a road win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 Thursday games as home underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Fried      Record this season: 17-5      ERA: 3.03
• Road Record: 10-3
• Last 5 against Orioles: 1-2

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last nine home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Yankees’ last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Orioles’ last six home games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in four of his last six home appearances.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded a hit in each of the Orioles’ last six home games against the Yankees.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Orioles as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Oswaldo Cabrera has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• Amed Rosario has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Fried ranks T1st in the league for Wins (17) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for home runs allowed this season (201).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (757).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.453).

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles have nothing to play for at this stage, and I’m not excited to get behind Povich and his 5.05 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Povich has allowed 36 hits and 20 earned runs in his last 37 innings. In 57 home innings, Povich has a 5.68 ERA and .283 allowed batting average. No, thanks. The Yankees are fighting for playoff positioning, and Fried has allowed 27 hits and 7 runs in his last 32.1 innings. The Yankees need to take advantage of a series like this to put themselves in a nice position heading into the last week. Give me the Yanks and the RL for max betting value.