New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 9/11/24

Pick details

Toronto Blue Jays (67-77) vs New York Mets (79-65)

September 11, 2024 at 03:07 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays +101 / New York Mets -119 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 79-66 on the year and play the Phillies and Nationals next. The New York Mets have scored 6 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The New York Mets have won 7 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 159 hits and 84 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 246 hits and 154 RBI.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 69-77 on the year and play the Cardinals and Rangers next. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have lost 6 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 178 hits and 94 RBI, while George Springer and Ernie Clement have combined for 209 hits and 103 RBI.

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Pick Matchup

Sean Manaea gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 11-5 with a 3.43 ERA and 163 strikeouts this season. Manaea has allowed 5 hits and 4 runs in his last 13.2 innings. Manaea has a 2.90 ERA and .206 allowed batting average in 77.2 road innings. Manaea is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Bowden Francis gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 8-4 with a 3.72 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Francis has allowed 7 hits and 3 runs in his last 13 innings. Francis has a 4.41 ERA and a .233 allowed batting average in 34.2 home innings. This will be Francis’ first career game against the New York Mets.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight-day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last three road games following a road loss.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in six of his last 15 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances at Rogers Centre.
  • Daulton Varsho has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances at Rogers Centre.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight home appearances.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Wednesday-day appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in seven of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with the Mets as road favorites.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Mets as road favorites.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as favorites against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for steals this season (65).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 6th in the league for strikeouts this season (1112).
  • The New York Mets rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.232).
  • The New York Mets rank 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (1114).

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

You can make a case for the Toronto Blue Jays at home with Bowden Francis on the mound, a young pitcher who has been solid as of late. With that said, I’d need more bang for my buck to get behind the Blue Jays. Sean Manaea has been just as good this season, and the New York Mets are actually playing for something at the moment. The Mets need all the wins they can get as they chase down a wild card spot. The Blue Jays have nothing to play for, and I’d need more than a pick ’em price to back them. Give me the Mets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Mets -119

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