Pick details
| MATCHUP | New York Mets | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 28-35 | 32-30 |
| Spread | -1.5 135 | +1.5 -163 |
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-119) | Under 7.5 (-101) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Saturday, June 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 28-35 on the year and play the Braves and Cardinals next. The New York Mets are batting .228 on the season, have a .292 OBP, and have a .362 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 58 hits and 32 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 102 hits and 47 RBI.
Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-4 with a 4.21 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 32-30 on the year and play the Reds and Orioles next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 215 on the season, have a .289 OBP, and have a .356 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 61 hits and 18 RBI, while Miguel Andujar and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 96 hits and 44 RBI.
Griffin Canning gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 0-4 with a 7.16 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Canning is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Mets have lost eight of their last 10 games as road favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Padres have won eight of their last nine Saturday games as underdogs.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against the Mets at Petco Park following a home loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last six games.
- The Mets have won each of their last four games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at Petco Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last five road games against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight road games against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last eight games against the Mets.
- Luis Campusano has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances with the Mets as favorites.
- Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Mets as favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (228).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.216).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.293).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for walks this season (177).
New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Like I said yesterday, backing the Padres just isn’t an option as this is a historic free fall they’re going through, and a talented lineup can’t hit the baseball for some reason. The Mets have shown signs of life lately, and I want a team that’s still playing hard if forced to pick between these two disappointing teams. Also, Canning has been a disaster this season with a 7.16 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Canning has allowed 3 or more runs in each of his last 5 starts, and he’s walked 15 batters in 27.2 innings. Give me the Mets for another victory.
Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Mets
