May 22, 2026; Miami, Florida, USA; New York Mets third baseman Brett Baty (7) throws to first base but cannot retire Miami Marlins catcher Joe Mack (not pictured) during the second inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction 9/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Baltimore Orioles New York Mets
Team Records 72-78 69-80
Spread +1.5 -207 -1.5 170
Moneyline +101 -122
Total Over 8 (-105) Under 8 (-114)
Where Citi Field, Queens, New York
When Monday, September 14, 2026
Time 07:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Mets will meet Monday evening in the opening game of a three-game interleague series at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at this matchup from a betting perspective.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles enter Monday’s contest with a 72–78 overall record (4th in the American League East) and a 36–39 mark on the road. The Orioles offense has been competitive this season. Baltimore has compiled 672 runs scored (14th in MLB), 220 doubles, a .234 team batting average and 179 home runs which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball.

The Orioles arrive at this contest in below average form. Baltimore has lost five of the team’s last seven games played this season, including a 3-1 loss to the Boston Red Sox last week.

The Baltimore Orioles will turn to right hander Brandon Young in this game. In 25 starts made in 2026, Young has compiled a 9-4 win-loss record, a 3.71 ERA and 112 strikeouts in 140.2 innings pitched. Brandon Young struggled in his most recent outing, allowing six earned runs, eight hits and two walks across 3.2 innings pitched in the Cleveland Guardians 9-5 defeat of the Orioles five days ago. Young will look to rebound from his recent poor performance on the mound in tomorrow evening’s matchup with the New York Mets.

The Orioles lineup features Pete Alonso and Gunnar Henderson. Pete Alonso has amassed 35 home runs (9th in MLB), 100 RBIs (4th in MLB) and an .863 OPS. Gunnar Henderson has tallied 22 home runs, 57 RBIs, 26 doubles and a .706 OPS.                                                                

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets enter Monday’s matchup with a 69-80 overall record (5th in the National League East) and a 34-40 mark on the road. The Mets arrive at this contest in subpar form. The New York Mets have lost two of the team’s last three games played this season, including a 6-4 loss to the New York Yankees two days ago.

The New York Mets will start right hander Jonah Tong in this contest. Tong arrives at this contest in below average form, allowing four earned runs or more in two of his last three starts made this season.

The Mets lineup features Juan Soto and Carson Benge. Juan Soto has compiled a .275 batting average, 24 home runs, 59 RBIs, 9 doubles and a .925 OPS. Carson Benge has tallied a .272 batting average, 16 home runs, 55 RBIs, 19 doubles, 45 walks and a .745 OPS.                

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win.

• Starting pitching. Brandon Young has compiled a 9-4 win-loss record, a 3.71 ERA and 112 strikeouts across 25 appearances this season.

• Offensive firepower. The Baltimore Orioles have tallied 179 home runs which currently ranks 11th in Major League Baseball.

• Motivation. The Baltimore Orioles have lost five of the team’s last seven games.    

Why the New York Mets will win.

• Home field advantage. The New York Mets have played competitive baseball at Citi Field.

• Starting pitching. New York Mets hurler Jonah Tong has amassed a 2-1 record, a 4.80 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.    

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Prediction

In my view, the way to go in this matchup is the total rather than a side. Why? New York starting pitcher Jonah Tong arrives at this contest in below average form, allowing four earned runs or more in two of his last three starts made this season. Similarly, Baltimore hurler Brandon Young struggled in his most recent outing, allowing six earned runs, eight hits and two walks across 3.2 innings pitched in the Cleveland Guardians 9-5 defeat of the Orioles five days ago. With that said, I am backing over 7.5 runs in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Over 7.5

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