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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 9/14/24
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Philadelphia Phillies (88-58) vs New York Mets (80-66)
September 14, 2024 at 04:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -101 / New York Mets -116 — Over/Under: 8.5
The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 81-66 on the year after playing the Reds and Blue Jays. The New York Mets have scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The New York Mets have won 9 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 162 hits and 86 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 249 hits and 159 RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 88-59 on the year after playing the Marlins and Reds. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 147 hits and 89 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have combined for 279 hits and 159 RBI.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Pick Matchup
Luis Severino gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 10-6 with a 3.74 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 11 hits and 2 runs in his last 13.2 innings. Severino has a 4.82 ERA and .256 allowed batting average in 74.2 road innings. This will be Severino’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Kolby Allard gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Allard has allowed 16 hits and 4 runs in his last 14 innings. Allard has a 6.75 ERA and .353 allowed batting average in 4 home innings. This will be Allard’s first career game against the New York Mets.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight road games.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in three of the Phillies’ last four games against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last eight games against the Mets at Citizens Bank Park.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded two hits in each of the Mets’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Phillies.
- Luis Severino has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Luis Severino has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has scored a run in seven of the Mets’ last eight road games.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Luis Severino has had his issues on the road this season, but it probably doesn’t matter. The New York Mets have caught fire over the last month, and they’re not a team I’m trying to step in front of as they chase down a wild card spot. Of course the Philadelphia Phillies and cheap prices are worth a look given how they’ve played all year, but Kolby Allard is an inexperienced pitcher who has a forgettable 4 innings at Citizens Bank Park. The Mets are just too hot to fade as long as the price is reasonable. That’s the case here. Give me the Mets.
