New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/8/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, September 8th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 72-73 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 43-30 home record and are coming off a 4-9 home loss against the Mets. They will face the Dodgers and the Diamondbacks next.

The Miami Marlins have a .247 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the Marlins’ best hitter with a .301 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 63 and Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.

Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 13-9 record, 3.54 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 66-78 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 32-38 away record and are coming off a 9-4 away win against the Marlins. They will face the Yankees and the Orioles next.

The New York Mets have a .237 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .275 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 72, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 23 home runs.

Sean Manaea (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 4-7 record, 4.70 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 8, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara      Record this season: 13-9      ERA: 3.54
• Home Record: 6-3
• Last 5 against Mets: 4-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last seven games against the Mets following a home loss.
• The Mets have lost each of their last seven road games against the Marlins following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games against NL opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games following a win.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea      Record this season: 4-7      ERA: 4.70
• Road Record: 3-5
• Last 5 against Marlins: 2-2

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Mets have won each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against NL opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Mets and Marlins.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Marlins’ last 16 night games against NL opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four night games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last nine games as favorites.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against the Mets.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (170) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances against the Marlins.
• Christopher Morel has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (31).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (149).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (185).

Mets vs Marlins Prediction

The Marlins are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Mets, but have won two of their last three meetings in Miami.  

In this Mets vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -110 home favorites. Both pitchers have been in terrible form, as Alcantara has given up 8 runs in his last two starts and Manaea 19 runs in his last four starts. Both offenses have been red-hot and as a result, both teams are 10-2 to the over in their last 12 games combined. The Opening game of this series had 13 total runs and I will go over 8 runs in this one.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 8