New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 9/1/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and the Detroit Tigers meet Monday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Sean Manaea for the start here and Manaea is 1-2 with a 5.01 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Tigers, Manaea is 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA and 33 strikeouts. Charlie Morton will get the start for the Tigers here and is 9-10 with a 5.25 ERA and 137 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Morton is 2-1 with a 3.49 ERA and 28 strikeouts.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to rebound from their 5-1 loss at the hands of the Marlins last time out to sit at 73-64 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road once again for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Mets Drop Back-To-Back Games

Pete Alonso has 141 hits with 34 doubles, 31 home runs, 110 RBIs and a .269 batting average while Juan Soto has 122 hits with 16 doubles, 26 stolen bases, 35 home runs and 84 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 148 hits with 26 stolen bases along with 28 doubles, 26 home runs and 76 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 15 home runs and 53 RBIs, but also has 88 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 128 hits with 27 doubles and 22 home runs and 77 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 12 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 12 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Tigers have lost eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a win.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four games.
• Sean Manaea has recorded a win in each of his three previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 14 games as favorites.
• Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Royals from Sunday’s series finale by a final score of 5-1 to improve to 80-58 this season. After this series, the Tigers will take on the Chicago White Sox in a series at home.

Tigers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Spencer Torkelson has 112 hits along with a .235 batting average including 28 home runs, 25 doubles and 70 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 22 home runs and 52 RBIs while Riley Greene has 138 hits with 28 doubles, 32 home runs and 101 RBIs but also has a team-high 170 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 12 home runs and 52 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 18 doubles, 10 triples, 11 home runs and 43 RBIs of his own along with 104 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 98 hits and 17 doubles as well as 11 home runs and 51 RBIs this season. Colt Keith also has 96 hits with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 RBIs.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have won six of the Tigers’ last seven games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Mets.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Mets.
• Charlie Morton has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games.
• Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 10 games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Tigers as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Riley Greene ranks 8th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mets’ last seven day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

New York Mets vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers here. I just think that while Charlie Morton is a volatile option at times, I feel like right now I can trust him and this Tigers bullpen more than the Mets right now. Detroit picked up a nice win to close out their series on Sunday, while the Mets just fell flat once again. Give me the Tigers at home to draw first blood in this series.