New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will trot out Jonah Tong here and Tong is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. This will be Tong’s first career start against the Reds. Brady Singer will get the start for the Reds here and is 12-9 with a 4.08 ERA and 140 strikeouts this season. This will be Singer’s first career start against the Mets. 

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on their 5-4 win over Cincinnati last time out to sit at 76-65 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mets Win 3 Of Their Last 4

Pete Alonso has 146 hits with 35 doubles, 33 home runs, 113 RBIs and a .271 batting average while Juan Soto has 127 hits with 16 doubles, 27 stolen bases, 37 home runs and 91 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 149 hits with 28 stolen bases along with 29 doubles, 26 home runs and 77 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 15 home runs and 54 RBIs, but also has 91 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 133 hits with 27 doubles and 22 home runs and 78 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 13 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 13 stolen bases as well this season.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to rebound from their loss to start the series against hte Mets to sit at 70-71 this season. After this set, the Reds will take to the road for a game against the San Diego Padres.

Reds Lose 8 Of Their Last 10

Elly De La Cruz has 148 hits with 19 home runs, 78 RBIs, 28 doubles and 32 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 133 hits with 19 doubles, 11 home runs and 45 RBIs with 11 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 106 hits with 24 doubles and 50 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 17 home runs and 64 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 13 homers, 45 RBIs and 16 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 20 doubles as well this season.

New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: September 6, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brady Singer      Record this season: 12-9      ERA: 4.08
• Home Record: 7-4
• Last 5 against Mets: 1-0

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Mets have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last three games at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jonah Tong      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 1.80
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Reds: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last 10 night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Mets and Reds.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mets’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Mets and Reds at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last five home games against the Mets.
• Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
• Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T8th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 17 games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Jesse Winker has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances at Great American Ball Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.401) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 24th in the league for home runs this season (138).
• The Reds rank 8th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.237).
• The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (125).
• The Mets rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.330).

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’m on the Mets here. I get the case to be made for the Reds as a home underdog, as Brady Singer has pitched fairly well at home this season. However, I think Tong has a lot of upside and I’m still fairly impressed with what the Mets have been doing offensively over the last month against righties. I think the Mets find a way to get the job done once again so give me the Mets in this one.