New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 15-24 on the year and play the Yankees and Tigers next. The New York Mets are batting .224 on the season, have a .288 OBP, and have a .345 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 36 hits and 16 RBI, while Francisco Alvarez and Marcus Semien have combined for 58 hits and 22 RBI.

Huascar Brazoban gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-0 with a 1.53 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. Brazoban is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 18-20 on the year and play the Rockies and Rangers next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 238 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and have a .395 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 43 hits and 24 RBI while Nolan Arenado and Corbin Carroll have combined for 67 hits and 38 RBI.

Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Rodriguez is 2-1 with a 5.20 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Mets have lost nine of their last 10 day games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have won three of their last four games against the Mets.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL West opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last eight games against the Mets at Chase Field following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last seven games at Chase Field following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at Chase Field following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 17 games against the Mets at Chase Field following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last seven games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last nine games against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Chase Field.
• Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in four of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against the Mets at Chase Field.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of his last six road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (284).
• The Diamondbacks rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.300).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (131).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.224).

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Brazoban and Rodriguez have pitched well this season, but Rodriguez has done it with a larger sample size. Rodriguez has a 2.50 ERA and 1.29 WHIP through 39.2 innings, while Brazoban has a 1.53 ERA and 0.96 WHIP through 17.2 innings. We’re getting a pick em price and there’s no way I’m backing the Mets on the road at this price. I’d need some bang for my buck to make it worth it. Even with some recent wins, the Mets stink and can’t be trusted. You’re giving me a pick’em price; I’ll fade the Mets all day long. Give me the Diamondbacks at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks