Pick details
| MATCHUP | New York Yankees | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 26-14 | 21-16 |
| Spread | -1.5 135 | +1.5 -163 |
| Moneyline | -126 | +104 |
| Total | Over 8 (-112) | Under 8 (-108) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Sunday, May 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 26-14 on the year and play the Orioles and Mets next. The New York Yankees are batting .240 on the season and have a .334 OBP, and a .444 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.12 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Cody Bellinger leads the New York Yankees with 41 hits and 28 RBI while Aaron Judge and Ben Rice have combined for 75 hits and 56 RBI.
Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he was 18-9 with a 3.09 ERA and 203 strikeouts last season. Rodon is 2-1 with a 2.42 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 21-16 on the year and play the Padres and Twins next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 241 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and have a .355 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 41 hits and 26 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 68 hits and 43 RBI.
Logan Henderson gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. This will be Henderson’s first career game against the New York Yankees.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Yankees have lost each of their last three games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday road games.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won five of their last six day games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have lost nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs following an extra innings win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at American Family Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last six games as home underdogs has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last five road games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has been hit in each of the last four day games between the Yankees and Brewers.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Yankees’ last seven games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Rodon has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Sunday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as road favorites.
- Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Brewers.
- Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.701) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (275).
- The Brewers rank T2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (138).
- The Yankees rank T2nd in the league for RBIs this season (201).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.444).
New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’m not excited to get behind Henderson against this Yankees lineup, but the Brewers are at home with the plus money and they’ve had success in this series. Rodon will also pitch for the first time this season, as he’s been dealing with an elbow issue. Who knows what to expect from Rodon in his debut? Rodon also struggled in his rehab performances. While this is a mismatch on paper, I’ll take a stab at the Brewers and the plus money.
