Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 10th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 17-23 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL East. They have a 9-11 home record and are coming off a 2-6 loss at home against the Athletics. They will face the Yankees and the Nationals next.

The Orioles have a .233 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .266 batting average. Jeremiah Jackson leads the team in RBI with 24, and Gunnar Henderson adds a team‑high 9 home runs.

Chris Bassitt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 2-2 record, 5.91 ERA and 1.91 WHIP.

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 21-18 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL West. They have a 13-10 away record and are coming off a 6-2 win on the road against the Orioles. They will face the Cardinals and the Giants next.

The Athletics have a .251 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .405 Slugging percentage. Oakland’s pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Shea Langeliers is the team’s best hitter with a .340 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 22 and adding a team‑high 11 home runs.

Luis Severino (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics, and he has a 2-3 record, 4.15 ERA and 1.48 WHIP.

Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: May 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt      Record this season: 2-2      ERA: 5.91
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Athletics: 2-1

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Athletics and Orioles.
• The Athletics have lost each of their last six Sunday games as favorites.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 19 Sunday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Athletics and Orioles.
• The Athletics have lost the first inning in each of their last five Sunday games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Athletics have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Sunday games as favorites.
• The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino      Record this season: 2-3      ERA: 4.15
• Road Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Orioles: 2-3

Why the Athletics will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Athletics have won each of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Athletics have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Athletics have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Orioles’ last 10 day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Athletics’ last eight games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Athletics’ last 12 games as favorites against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents .
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games as underdogs.
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit at least one home run in six of his last 10 home appearances against the Athletics.
• Taylor Ward ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.425) this season.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

• Brent Rooker has hit a home run in two of the Athletics’ last three games.
• Luis Severino has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against the Orioles.
• Luis Severino has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 15 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Kurtz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Shea Langeliers ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (50) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (4.84).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (372).
• The Athletics rank 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (169).
• The Athletics rank 6th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.405).

Athletics vs Orioles Prediction

The A’s have won their last four meetings against the Orioles and are 4-0 in their last 4 visits in Baltimore. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Athletics vs Orioles Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The A’s have won both games in this series and are putting Severino on the mound, who has given up just one run in each of his last three starts and has been better on the road this season. On the flip side, Bassitt has given up 4+ runs in two of his last three starts and is facing an A’s team that is 4th-best against righties in the past couple of weeks. Take the A’s to keep rolling and win this one as well.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Athletics ML