Nationals vs Royals Prediction 8/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 11th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 47-70 this year after they won two out of three against San Francisco by scores of 0-5, 4-2, and 8-0. In their game three win, Washington jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the second inning and cruised to the shutout victory. The Nationals recorded 17 hits in the game and they were led by Wood, who went 2-5 with four RBIs in the win. Washington started Gore, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Henry, Poulin, and Beeter closed out the game. 

Prior to that series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Athletics and all three against the Brewers. Washington has won three of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.29 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .271 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 498 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 25 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 15 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this year. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 58-60 this season after they lost two out of three against Minnesota by scores of 4-9, 2-0, and 3-5. In their game three loss, Kansas City led 3-2 in the eighth inning, but they blew the lead and failed to score in the 10th and 11th innings for the loss. The Royals recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Pasquantino, who went 1-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. KC started Bergert, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Erceg blew the save and Estevez picked up the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. Kansas City has lost four of their last six games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 434 runs with a .244 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 20 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 20 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Bailey Falter, who is 7-6 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 117.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Royals will beat the Nationals

• The Royals have won each of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have lost four of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Monday night games as home favorites.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.

Why the Nationals will beat the Royals

• The Royals have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a road loss.
• The underdogs have won four of the Nationals’ last six games.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Royals.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites following an extra innings loss.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Nationals’ last five night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Nationals’ last five road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Royals’ last five games at Kauffman Stadium.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in five of the Royals’ last 10 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 11 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four games against NL opponents.
• Maikel Garcia ranks T6th in the league in Hits (131) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last five road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (813).
• The Royals rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.62).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (1089).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (641).

Nationals vs Royals Prediction 

Kansas City is coming off of a very disappointing loss on Sunday afternoon to a bad Minnesota team, but they will be back at home here. The Royals are 28-28 at home this year, while the Nationals are 25-34 on the road. Washington has really had major issues over the last few months and they are starting Cavalli, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs in his first outing. The Royals are going with Falter, who allowed seven earned runs and eight hits over 4.0 innings against Boston last time out. I don’t trust Falter in this matchup and I definitely don’t trust the Washington bullpen, so I will take the over here.