Nationals vs Mets Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 20th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 62-92 this season after they lost game one by a score of 12-6 on Friday. Washington led 4-1 in the third inning, but their pitching staff fell apart for the blowout loss. The Nationals recorded eight hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Abrams, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Washington started Alvarez, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Thompson allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals lost all four against the Braves, but did win two out of three against the Pirates before that. Washington has lost five games in a row and they are last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.37 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .268 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 653 runs with a .243 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 20 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 3-1 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 80-74 this year after they won game one by a score of 12-6 on Friday night. New York trailed in the third inning, but they scored 11 of the last 13 runs to pull away in the blowout win. The Mets recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 2-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. New York started Sproat, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Raley picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Padres, but lost two out of three against the Rangers before that. New York has won four of their last five games and they are second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 734 runs with a .250 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 37 home runs and 122 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 42 home runs and 103 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 4-1 with a 1.19 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Nationals 

The Nationals have lost each of their last nine games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Mets have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against the Nationals.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Nationals’ last seven games.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine day games against NL East opponents.
The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Nationals at Citi Field.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Nationals’ last six games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven Saturday day games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 17 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five home games.
Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against the Nationals at Citi Field.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Nationals vs Mets Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup on a five game losing streak and they have allowed at least nine runs in three of those losses. The Nationals are 31-45 on the road this year, while the Mets are 49-30 at home. New York is starting to get hot and they are starting McLean, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Washington is going with Cavalli, who has allowed three earned runs in four of his last five. I really like how McLean has looked in limited action and the New York bats are on fire, so take the Mets -1.5 here.