Sep 3, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals designated hitter James Wood (29) in the field against the Miami Marlins during the first inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-Imagn Images

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 9/8/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Washington (58-84) vs Miami (66-77)

September 8, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami -135 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 8th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 58-84 this year after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 5-11, 2-1, and 6-3. In their game three win, Washington trailed 3-1 late in the game, but they scored five runs in the ninth to steal the victory. The Nationals recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bell, who went 1-1 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Washington started Alvarez, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Thompson got the win and Ferrer picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Nationals won all three against the Marlins, but lost all three against the Rays before that. Washington has won five of their last six games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.28 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 601 runs with a .243 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 86 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 17 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 2-1 with a 4.85 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 29.2 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 66-77 this season after they lost two out of three against Philadelphia by scores of 3-9, 2-4, and 5-4. In their game three win, Miami scored four runs in the first inning and led the entire game for the victory. The Marlins recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lopez, who went 3-4 with two home runs and four RBIs in the win. Miami started Phillips, who allowed one hit and one earned run over 2.2 innings, while Henriquez picked up the win and Bachar got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Marlins lost all three against the Nationals, but did win three out of four against the Mets before that. Miami has lost five of their last six games and they are third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 616 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 19 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 6-2 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins 

The Marlins have lost each of their last nine Monday games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Nationals have won each of their last three games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against the Marlins.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 Monday games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Marlins’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Nationals’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight night games at LoanDepot Park.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five home games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in each of the Marlins’ last three games against the Nationals at LoanDepot Park.
Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Marlins as favorites.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances with the Nationals against NL opponents.
Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Marlins.

Matchup/League Facts

The Marlins rank 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1125).
The Marlins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.72).
The Nationals rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (1290).
The Nationals rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (773).

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami was able to snap their losing streak with a dramatic win on Sunday afternoon against the Phillies, as they continue to hold onto the third spot in the East. The Marlins are 32-39 at home this year, while the Nationals are 29-42 on the road. Washington is last in the division, but they have won five of their last six games and they are starting Cavalli, who has allowed 2, 7, and 3 earned runs in his last three starts. Miami is going with Junk, who has allowed three earned runs or more in five straight outings, but hasn’t pitched since 8/23 due to injury. Washington is the hotter team and I think Cavalli has some upside. Take the Nationals to win.

David Racey's Pick: Nationals ML

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