Nationals vs Braves Prediction 9/23/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 23rd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 64-93 this year after they lost game one by a score of 11-5 on Monday night. Washington led 1-0 in the first inning, but allowed the next seven runs and never really got back into the game. The Nationals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Chaparro, who went 2-5 with three RBIs in the loss. Washington started Gore, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 2.0 innings for the loss, while Poulin and Rutledge both allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Mets, but lost all four against the Braves before that. Washington has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.36 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .269 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 665 runs with a .243 batting average and a .305 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 20 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Brad Lord, who is 5-8 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 120.2 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 74-83 this season after they won game one by a score of 11-5 to start this series on Monday. Atlanta led 7-1 in the third inning and piled on with three more in the sixth to seal the victory. The Braves recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Harris II, who went 3-5 with three RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Sale, who allowed three hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Suarez picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Braves won all three against the Tigers and all four against the Nationals. Atlanta has won nine games in a row and they are fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 710 runs with a .246 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 28 home runs and 93 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Hurston Waldrep, who is 5-1 with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 50.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Braves will beat the Nationals 

The Braves have won each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
The Nationals have lost each of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the last six games between the Nationals and Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Nationals’ last five night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Nationals’ last five games as road underdogs.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last eight night games.
Michael Harris has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Braves.
CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Paul DeJong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Nationals vs Braves Prediction 

Atlanta erupted for 11 runs in game one of this series and they are looking for their 10th straight win here. The Braves are 37-39 at home this year, while the Nationals are 33-46 on the road. Washington’s pitching staff has been a disaster this season and they are starting Lord, who has allowed 2, 3, 1, 7, and 6 earned runs in his last five. The Braves are starting Waldrep, who has allowed 11 earned runs and 13 hits in his last 9.2 innings. Lord has pitched better in his last two outings for Washington, but I refuse to go against these Atlanta bats. Take the Braves -1.5 here.